Liz-Vision
  • May 2, 2009 02:55 PM EDT by Liz Claman

    Buffett: Picking bottoms is impossible

    Question: Are you still buying? How would you rank the recent market downturn in terms of opportunities in stocks?

    Buffett: Not as dramatic as the 1974 period was .  I'm gonna be buying investments the rest of my life. I would much rather pay half of x than x. On a personal basis - I like lower prices. I realize that's not the way all of you feel. It just makes sense that when things are on sale you should be more excited about them. That's when I believe in buying.

    Munger: If stocks off 40% on average -they're obviously closer to an attractive price than before. And interest rates have gone down a lot. But it's nothing like 1973-74 - I knew we would never get another time like that. Unfortunately I had basically no money then. If I were you I wouldn't wait for 1973-74.

    Buffett: We don't try to pick bottoms. To sit around and not do something sensible because you think there might be something better.... doesn't make sense. Picking bottoms is not our game. Pricing is our game. And that's not so difficult. Picking bottoms is, I think, impossible.  After I wrote NYTimes Op/Ed - things got cheaper and I bought some bonds for Berkshire and some things for myself.

Stephen

Buffett is a smart investor. Actual last summer I realize that a major stock decline was in progress. I increase my 457 plan deferral up as much as I could afford. After personal expenses fell of in January I again increase my deferral. This is the first time I had some money to take advantage of a serious decline in the Stock Market in my life. I was hoping that the market would not recover until next year. Well I think the market has started to recover. It will be a few years before the market is again at it's old highs so now is the time to be investing more. You make money by buying low and selling high. Also inflation is going to go up as all of the new money is felt in our economy. Stocks keep pace with inflation. Bonds and other debt do not. Buffett's investment style is to shoot where the market is going not where it has been. Most investors do the opposite.

May 4, 2009 at 11:04 am

about this blog

  • Liz Claman joined FOX Business Network (FBN) as an anchor in October 2007. Her debut included an exclusive interview with Berkshire Hathaway CEO and legendary investor Warren Buffett.

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